Riding profile
Pendle and Clitheroe
The question
Pendle and Clitheroe: who wins this toss-up?
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.3
- P(close race)
- 100%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HerePendle and Clitheroe | 29.5% | 27.3% | 21.5% | 8.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.4% +4.2 | 19.3% +7.9 | 21.8% −0.3 | 5.0% +3.3 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Editorial read
Pendle and Clitheroe, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 2-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 30% vote share, against 27% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Jonathan Hinder
Sits with Labour
Previous election · 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Hinder Elected | Labour | 16,129 | 34.5 | — |
| Andrew Stephenson | Conservative | 15,227 | 32.6 | — |
| Victoria Fletcher | Reform UK | 8,171 | 17.5 | — |
| Zulfikar Khan | Other | 3,108 | 6.7 | — |
| Anna Fryer | Lib Dems | 2,039 | 4.4 | — |
| Lex Kristan | Green | 1,421 | 3.0 | — |
| Syed Hashmi | Other | 336 | 0.7 | — |
| Christopher Thompson | Other | 190 | 0.4 | — |
| Tony Johnson | Other | 133 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029