Riding profile
South Suffolk
The question
South Suffolk: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
South Suffolk, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 6-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 29% vote share, against 27% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
James Cartlidge
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.0
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSouth Suffolk | 29.3% | 27.3% | 15.9% | 13.2% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +4.0 | 18.9% +8.4 | 21.7% −5.8 | 11.8% +1.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Cartlidge Elected | Conservative | 16,082 | 33.0 | — |
| Emma Bishton | Labour | 13,035 | 26.7 | — |
| Beverley England | Reform UK | 9,252 | 19.0 | — |
| Tom Bartleet | Lib Dems | 6,424 | 13.2 | — |
| Jessie Carter | Green | 4,008 | 8.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029