Riding profile
Central Suffolk and North Ipswich
The question
Central Suffolk and North Ipswich: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Central Suffolk and North Ipswich, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 9-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 29% vote share, against 27% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Patrick Spencer
Sits with Independent
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 2.5
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Green | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCentral Suffolk and North Ipswich | 29.2% | 26.7% | 17.2% | 14.0% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +3.8 | 18.9% +7.8 | 11.8% +5.4 | 21.7% −7.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Spencer Elected | Conservative | 15,144 | 32.6 | — |
| Kevin Craig | Labour | 10,854 | 23.4 | — |
| Tony Gould | Reform UK | 8,806 | 19.0 | — |
| Daniel Pratt | Green | 5,652 | 12.2 | — |
| Brett Mickelburgh | Lib Dems | 5,407 | 11.7 | — |
| Charlie Caiger | Other | 366 | 0.8 | — |
| Mike Hallatt | Other | 194 | 0.4 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029