Riding profile
Waveney Valley
The question
Waveney Valley: a safe seat for the Green Party?
Editorial read
Waveney Valley, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Green Party in the previous cycle, with a 11-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Green Party ahead at 44% vote share, against 24% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Adrian Ramsay
Sits with Green
Current forecast
Green
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 20.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Green | Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereWaveney Valley | 44.0% | 23.9% | 22.0% | 4.9% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.8% +32.2 | 18.9% +5.0 | 25.3% −3.4 | 21.7% −16.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Ramsay Elected | Green | 20,467 | 41.7 | — |
| Richard Rout | Conservative | 14,873 | 30.3 | — |
| Scott Huggins | Reform UK | 7,779 | 15.8 | — |
| Gurpreet Padda | Labour | 4,621 | 9.4 | — |
| John Shreeve | Lib Dems | 1,214 | 2.5 | — |
| Maya Severyn | Other | 118 | 0.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029