Riding profile
North Norfolk
The question
North Norfolk: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
North Norfolk, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Lib Dems in the previous cycle, with a 5-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Lib Dems ahead at 32% vote share, against 29% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Steff Aquarone
Sits with Lib Dems
Current forecast
Lib Dems
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.3
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Lib Dems | Conservative | Reform UK | Labour | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNorth Norfolk | 32.3% | 29.1% | 26.3% | 5.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 11.6% +20.7 | 18.9% +10.2 | 25.3% +1.0 | 21.7% −16.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steffan Aquarone Elected | Lib Dems | 19,488 | 41.4 | — |
| Duncan Baker | Conservative | 16,903 | 35.9 | — |
| Jason Patchett | Reform UK | 6,368 | 13.5 | — |
| Cathy Cordiner-Achenbach | Labour | 2,878 | 6.1 | — |
| Liz Dixon | Green | 1,406 | 3.0 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029