Riding profile
Norwich South
The question
Norwich South: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Norwich South, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Labour ahead at 31% vote share, against 29% for the Green Party, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Clive Lewis
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Labour
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.5
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Labour | Green | Reform UK | Conservative | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereNorwich South | 31.3% | 29.2% | 18.8% | 9.6% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 21.7% +9.7 | 11.8% +17.4 | 25.3% −6.5 | 18.9% −9.3 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clive Lewis Elected | Labour | 21,484 | 47.6 | — |
| Jamie Osborn | Green | 8,245 | 18.3 | — |
| David Thomas | Conservative | 5,806 | 12.9 | — |
| Graham Burton | Reform UK | 5,227 | 11.6 | — |
| Sean Bennett | Lib Dems | 3,577 | 7.9 | — |
| Linda Law | Other | 455 | 1.0 | — |
| Elizabeth Davey | Other | 301 | 0.7 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029