Riding profile
Great Yarmouth
The question
Great Yarmouth: will Other lose this seat to Reform UK?
Editorial read
Great Yarmouth, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Reform UK in the previous cycle, with a 4-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 44% vote share, against 21% for the Conservatives, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Rupert Lowe
Sits with Other
Current forecast
Reform UK
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 23.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGreat Yarmouth | 44.3% | 21.2% | 18.1% | 8.3% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +19.0 | 18.9% +2.3 | 21.7% −3.6 | 11.8% −3.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rupert Lowe Elected | Reform UK | 14,385 | 35.3 | — |
| Keir Cozens | Labour | 12,959 | 31.8 | — |
| James Clark | Conservative | 10,034 | 24.6 | — |
| Trevor Rawson | Green | 1,736 | 4.3 | — |
| Fionna Tod | Lib Dems | 1,102 | 2.7 | — |
| Paul Brown | Other | 230 | 0.6 | — |
| Catherine Blaiklock | Other | 171 | 0.4 | — |
| Clare Roullier | Other | 131 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029