Riding profile
South Norfolk
The question
South Norfolk: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
South Norfolk, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 6-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 27% vote share, against 24% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Ben Goldsborough
Sits with Labour
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.3
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSouth Norfolk | 27.4% | 24.0% | 21.6% | 13.1% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +2.1 | 18.9% +5.1 | 21.7% | 11.8% +1.3 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Goldsborough Elected | Labour | 17,353 | 35.0 | — |
| Poppy Simister-Thomas | Conservative | 14,527 | 29.3 | — |
| Chris Harrison | Reform UK | 7,583 | 15.3 | — |
| Christopher Brown | Lib Dems | 5,746 | 11.6 | — |
| Catherine Rowett | Green | 3,987 | 8.0 | — |
| Paco Davila | Other | 254 | 0.5 | — |
| Jason Maguire | Other | 129 | 0.3 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029