Lowestoft
Westminster constituency · England · East of England
Forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives Reform UK a 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 5.7 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 36%.
Compared with the average
| Reform UK | Labour | Conservative | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lowestoft | 32.8% | 26.5% | 25.3% | 9.7% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 22.3%+10.5 | 26.5% | 20.0%+5.3 | 9.7% |
Simple average of the 650 ridings, not weighted by population.
Local profile
| Population | 94,722 |
|---|---|
| Median age | 47 |
| Employment rate | 88.1% |
Current member
Jess Asato · Labour
Previous election (2024)
Labour won by 4.8 points.
Our current projection: Reform UK ahead by 5.7 points.
Candidates and votes in 2024
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jess Asato Elected | Labour | 14,464 | 34.6 |
| Peter Aldous | Conservative | 12,448 | 29.8 |
| June Mummery | Reform UK | 10,328 | 24.7 |
| Toby Hammond | Green | 3,095 | 7.4 |
| Adam Robertson | Lib Dems | 1,489 | 3.6 |
Nearby ridings
Party ahead and how sure the projection is.
- Great Yarmouth Reform UK, safe seat
- South Norfolk Labour, toss-up
- Waveney Valley Green, safe seat
- North Norfolk Lib Dems, safe seat
- Broadland and Fakenham Conservative, toss-up
- Norwich South Labour, safe seat
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated