Riding profile

Norwich North

UK constituency — England · Urban · east of england

The question

Norwich North: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Norwich North, an urban constituency in England, elected a member with Labour in the previous cycle, with a 24-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 29% vote share, against 28% for Reform UK, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Alice Macdonald

Sits with Labour

Since
2024-07-04
Parliament
59th

Current forecast

Reform UK

Toss-up

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
0.7
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Labour 28.5%
  • Reform UK 27.6%
  • Conservative 18.8%
  • Green 16.3%
  • Lib Dems 6.0%
  • Other 2.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Labour Reform UK Conservative Green
HereNorwich North 28.5%27.6%18.8%16.3%
National averageUnited Kingdom 21.7% +6.9 25.3% +2.3 18.9% −0.1 11.8% +4.5

Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · UK 2024

Won by
Labour
Margin
23.7 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-23.0 pts

Detailed result · UK 2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Alice Macdonald Elected Labour 20,794 45.4
Charlotte Salomon Conservative 9,944 21.7
Nick Taylor Reform UK 8,229 18.0
Ben Price Green 4,372 9.6
Chika Akinwale Lib Dems 2,073 4.5
Fiona Grace Other 353 0.8

Demographics

Who lives here

Population
99,574
Median age
41
Employment rate
86.6%

Data source : ONS mid-2022 population + Jan 2026 labour market

Last model run
Cycle
uk_2029