Riding profile
Mid Norfolk
The question
Mid Norfolk: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Mid Norfolk, a mixed constituency in England, elected a member with the Conservatives in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects Reform UK ahead at 33% vote share, against 30% for the Conservatives, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
George Freeman
Sits with Conservative
Current forecast
Reform UK
Toss-up
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.0
- P(close race)
- 100%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Reform UK | Conservative | Labour | Green | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMid Norfolk | 33.4% | 30.4% | 17.1% | 10.4% |
| National averageUnited Kingdom | 25.3% +8.1 | 18.9% +11.5 | 21.7% −4.6 | 11.8% −1.4 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 650 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · UK 2024
Detailed result · UK 2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Freeman Elected | Conservative | 16,770 | 36.5 | — |
| Michael Rosen | Labour | 13,716 | 29.9 | — |
| Kabeer Kher | Reform UK | 9,427 | 20.5 | — |
| Stuart Howard | Lib Dems | 3,126 | 6.8 | — |
| Ash Haynes | Green | 2,858 | 6.2 | — |
Demographics
Who lives here
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
uk_2029