Riding profile

AL-1

US House district — AL · Mixed · us al

The question

AL-1: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

AL-1, a mixed riding in AL, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 52-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 65% vote share, against 35% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

MOORE, FELIX BARRY

Sits with Republican

Primary race

Who leads in the primary

Republican

Rhett Marques 22%

6 candidates polled · Latest poll Apr 22, 2026 · bypolitical_intelligence

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Moore, Felix Barry

  • Democrat Open seat

    Jones, Clyde W Mr. Jr

  • Republican Open seat

    Carl, Jerry Lee, Jr

  • Republican Open seat

    Sidwell, Austin

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
29.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 64.9%
  • Democrat 35.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereAL-1 64.9%35.1%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +18.3 51.9% −16.8

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
52.4 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-22.5 pts

Redistricting impact

Where these voters came from

This district was redrawn under the 2025-2026 mid-decade redistricting. Composition by inherited old-district share:

  • Congressional District 1 (01001) 91%
  • Congressional District 2 (01002) 9%

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026