Advanced to the general election
Jared Huffman 56.5%
Advanced to the general election
Robin Littau 11.4%
Riding profile
CA-2
The question
CA-2: a safe seat for the Democrats?
Current forecast
Democrat
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 35.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Democrat | Republican | |
|---|---|---|
| HereCA-2 | 68.0% | 32.0% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.3% +13.6 | 44.9% −12.9 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
CA-2, a mixed riding in CA, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 37-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 68% vote share, against 32% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
HUFFMAN, JARED
Sits with Democrat
Primary race
Primary results
Held Jun 2, 2026 · Certified official result
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Democrat Incumbent
Huffman, Jared
- Other Challenger
Hahn, Nicolette G.
-
Republican Open seat Robin Littau
Previous election · 2024
Redistricting impact
Where these voters came from
This district was redrawn under the 2025-2026 mid-decade redistricting. Composition by inherited old-district share:
- Congressional District 1
(06001)55% - Congressional District 2
(06002)45%
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026