Riding profile

CA-13

US House district — CA · Mixed · us ca

The question

CA-13: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

CA-13, a mixed riding in CA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 53% vote share, against 47% for the Republicans, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

GRAY, ADAM C.

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Gray, Adam C.

  • Republican Challenger

    Kruttiventi, Vin

  • Republican Challenger

    Lincoln, Kevin J II

  • Republican Challenger

    Lopez, Javier B

Current forecast

Democrat

Toss-up

Probability
99%
Mean margin (pts)
5.4
P(close race)
43%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 52.7%
  • Republican 47.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereCA-13 52.7%47.3%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +0.8 46.6% +0.6

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
0.3 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+5.2 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026