Riding profile

CA-17

US House district — CA · Mixed · us ca

The question

CA-17: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

CA-17, a mixed riding in CA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 36-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 72% vote share, against 28% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

KHANNA, ROHIT

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Khanna, Rohit

  • Democrat Challenger

    Agarwal, Ethan

  • Democrat Challenger

    Katz, Mike

  • Republican Challenger

    Tandon, Ritesh

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
44.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 72.5%
  • Republican 27.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereCA-17 72.5%27.5%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +20.6 46.6% −19.1

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
36.1 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+8.8 pts

Redistricting impact

Where these voters came from

This district was redrawn under the 2025-2026 mid-decade redistricting. Composition by inherited old-district share:

  • Congressional District 17 (06017) 94%

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026