Riding profile

CA-37

US House district — CA · Mixed · us ca

The question

CA-37: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

CA-37, a mixed riding in CA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 57-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 83% vote share, against 17% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

KAMLAGER-DOVE, SYDNEY

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Kamlager-Dove, Sydney

  • Democrat Challenger

    Lombardo, Todd

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
66.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 83.0%
  • Republican 17.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereCA-37 83.0%17.0%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +31.2 46.6% −29.7

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
56.5 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+9.5 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026