Winner
Amanda Hollowell 53.0%
Riding profile
GA-1
The question
GA-1: a safe seat for the Republicans?
Current forecast
Republican
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 11.7
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Republican | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|
| HereGA-1 | 55.9% | 44.1% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.9% +10.9 | 54.3% −10.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
GA-1, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 24-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 56% vote share, against 44% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
CARTER, EARL LEROY
Sits with Republican
Primary race
Primary results
Held Jun 16, 2026 · Certified official result
Winner
James "Jim" Kingston 52.4%
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
Democrat Open seat Hollowell, Amanda
- Republican Open seat
Kingston, James Morris
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026