Riding profile

GA-1

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-1: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

GA-1, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 24-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 59% vote share, against 41% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

CARTER, EARL LEROY

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Carter, Earl Leroy

  • Democrat Open seat

    Griggs, Joyce Marie

  • Democrat Open seat

    Hollowell, Amanda

  • Democrat Open seat

    Mccord, Michael

  • Democrat Open seat

    Stokes-Williamson, Sharon

  • Democrat Open seat

    Wilver, Patrick

  • Democrat Open seat

    Zurcher, Randy

  • Republican Open seat

    Farrell, Patrick K.

  • Republican Open seat

    Kingston, James Morris

  • Republican Open seat

    Monteleone, Monte, Eugene, Gee T Mr.

  • Republican Open seat

    Montgomery, Brian Allen

  • Republican Open seat

    Penn, Krista

  • Republican Open seat

    Taylor, Kandiss Dr.

  • Republican Open seat

    Yu, Eugene Chin Mr.

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
17.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 58.5%
  • Democrat 41.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereGA-1 58.5%41.5%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +11.9 51.9% −10.4

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
24.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-6.9 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026