Riding profile

GA-10

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-10: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

GA-10, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 26-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 60% vote share, against 40% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

COLLINS, MICHAEL A JR

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Collins, Michael A Jr

  • Democrat Open seat

    Delancy, Pamela Mrs

  • Democrat Open seat

    Doherty, Alexandra

  • Republican Open seat

    Gaines, Houston

  • Republican Open seat

    Millsap, Ryan

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
19.2
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 59.6%
  • Democrat 40.4%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereGA-10 59.6%40.4%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +12.9 51.9% −11.4

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
26.1 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-6.9 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026