Riding profile

GA-5

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-5: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
81.3
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 90.6%

    Nikema N. Williams incumbent

  • Republican 9.4%

    John "Bongo" Salvesen

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. FL-22Democrat68 %1.1 pt margin
  2. AZ-2Republican57 %1.1 pt margin
  3. OH-10Democrat60 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereGA-5 90.6%9.4%
National averageUnited States 54.3% +36.3 44.9% −35.6

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

GA-5, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 71-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 91% vote share, against 9% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

WILLIAMS, NIKEMA N.

Sits with Democrat

Primary race

Primary results

Held May 19, 2026 · Certified official result

Democratic primary

Winner

Nikema Williams (I) 88.0%

118,546 votes

Republican primary

Winner

John "Bongo" Salvesen 100.0%

9,552 votes

Official source →

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Williams, Nikema N.

  • Republican Open seat

    John "Bongo" Salvesen

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
71.4 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+9.9 pts
Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026