Riding profile

GA-5

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-5: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

GA-5, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 71-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 88% vote share, against 12% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

WILLIAMS, NIKEMA N.

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Williams, Nikema N.

  • Democrat Challenger

    Beatty, Arnetress

  • Democrat Challenger

    Castro, Andres

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
75.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 87.7%
  • Republican 12.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereGA-5 87.7%12.3%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +35.8 46.6% −34.4

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
71.4 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+4.1 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026