Winner
Chris Harden 74.8%
Riding profile
GA-11
The question
GA-11: a safe seat for the Republicans?
Current forecast
Republican
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 22.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Republican | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|
| HereGA-11 | 61.1% | 38.9% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.9% +16.2 | 54.3% −15.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
GA-11, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 35-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 61% vote share, against 39% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
LOUDERMILK, BARRY
Sits with Republican
Primary race
Primary results
Held Jun 16, 2026 · Certified official result
Winner
John Cowan 65.0%
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
Democrat Open seat Harden, Christopher Matthew
- Republican Open seat
Cowan, John
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026