Riding profile

GA-11

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-11: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

GA-11, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 35-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 64% vote share, against 36% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

LOUDERMILK, BARRY

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Loudermilk, Barry

  • Republican Challenger

    Ekpete Kama, Uloma

  • Democrat Open seat

    Harden, Christopher Matthew

  • Democrat Open seat

    Wolfert, Barry Craig Mr.

  • Republican Open seat

    Adkerson, Rob

  • Republican Open seat

    Brown, William

  • Republican Open seat

    Cowan, John

  • Republican Open seat

    Ekpete Kama, Uloma

  • Republican Open seat

    Kelly, William Flynn III

  • Republican Open seat

    Lisa, Carlquist

  • Republican Open seat

    Mora, Chris

  • Republican Open seat

    Pridemore, Tricia

  • Republican Open seat

    Pridemore, Tricia

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
27.6
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 63.8%
  • Democrat 36.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereGA-11 63.8%36.2%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +17.1 51.9% −15.6

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
34.6 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-7.0 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026