Georgia’s 14th District
U.S. House · GA-14
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives the Republicans a 98% chance of winning, with an average lead of 16.3 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: 6%.
What Orbit says
Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Republican, with a 89% chance (98% according to Harfang des neiges).
| Model | Favourite | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Harfang des neiges | Republican | 98% |
| Orbit | Republican | 89% |
| 50/50 blend | Republican | 94% |
Compared with the average
| Republican | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|
| GA-14 | 58.1% | 41.9% |
| National averageUnited States | 43.9%+14.2 | 54.9%−13.0 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Latino citizens aged 18 and over | 7.5% (± 0.3) |
|---|
Current member
Greene, Marjorie Taylor · Republican
Primary results
| Democratic primary | Shawn Harris | 100.0% | 43,067 votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Republican primary | Clay Fuller | 81.3% | 66,888 votes |
Who's running
The candidates
Candidates for the upcoming election.
Republican 
Democrat Previous election (2024)
The Republicans won by 28.7 points.
Our current projection: the Republicans ahead by 16.3 points.
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated