Riding profile

GA-14

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-14: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
16.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 58.2%

    Clay Fuller incumbent

  • Democrat 41.8%

    Shawn Harris

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. FL-22Democrat68 %1.1 pt margin
  2. AZ-2Republican57 %1.1 pt margin
  3. OH-10Democrat60 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereGA-14 58.2%41.8%
National averageUnited States 44.9% +13.3 54.3% −12.5

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

GA-14, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 58% vote share, against 42% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

GREENE, MARJORIE TAYLOR

Sits with Republican

Primary race

Primary results

Held May 19, 2026 · Certified official result

Democratic primary

Winner

Shawn Harris 100.0%

43,067 votes

Republican primary

Winner

Clay Fuller 81.3%

66,888 votes

Official source →

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Fuller, Clay

  • Democrat Open seat

    Harris, Shawn

  • Other Open seat

    Ruszkowski ( Rush ), Rob

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
28.7 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-12.3 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026