Riding profile

GA-14

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-14: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

GA-14, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 29-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 61% vote share, against 39% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

GREENE, MARJORIE TAYLOR

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Fuller, Clay

  • Republican Incumbent

    Greene, Marjorie Taylor

  • Democrat Open seat

    Blalock, Clarence

  • Democrat Open seat

    Harris, Shawn

  • Other Open seat

    Ruszkowski ( Rush ), Rob

  • Republican Open seat

    Black, Star

  • Republican Open seat

    Box, Reagan

  • Republican Open seat

    Brown, James M Mr

  • Republican Open seat

    Brown, Timothy Beau

  • Republican Open seat

    Craig, Jared

  • Republican Open seat

    Criswell, Jefferson Edward

  • Republican Open seat

    Cunningham, Eric B

  • Republican Open seat

    Gray, Thomas Jonathan Jackson

  • Republican Open seat

    Hurd, Christian Michael

  • Republican Open seat

    Lama, Nicky

  • Republican Open seat

    Moore, Colton

  • Republican Open seat

    Stover, Brian C.

  • Republican Open seat

    Strickland, Megahn

  • Republican Open seat

    Tully, Jim

  • Republican Open seat

    Turnipseed, Jenna Jaye

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
21.8
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 60.9%
  • Democrat 39.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereGA-14 60.9%39.1%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +14.2 51.9% −12.8

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
28.7 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-7.0 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026