Riding profile

GA-6

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-6: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

GA-6, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 49-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 77% vote share, against 23% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

MCBATH, LUCIA KAY MS.

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Mcbath, Lucia Kay Ms.

  • Republican Challenger

    Martin, Kevin Eugene

  • Republican Challenger

    Pinker, Justin

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
54.2
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 77.1%
  • Republican 22.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereGA-6 77.1%22.9%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +25.2 46.6% −23.7

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
49.4 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+4.8 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026