Riding profile

GA-4

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-4: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

GA-4, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 51-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 78% vote share, against 22% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

JOHNSON, HENRY C. 'HANK'

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Johnson, Henry C. 'Hank'

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
55.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 78.0%
  • Republican 22.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereGA-4 78.0%22.1%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +26.1 46.6% −24.6

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
51.2 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+4.7 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026