Riding profile

GA-7

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-7: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

GA-7, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 30-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 62% vote share, against 38% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

MCCORMICK, RICHARD DEAN DR.

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Mccormick, Richard Dean Dr.

  • Democrat Challenger

    Kozycki, Anthony Lawrence

  • Democrat Challenger

    Long, Larry

  • Democrat Challenger

    Norton, Casey

  • Democrat Challenger

    Toweh, Jayson

  • Republican Challenger

    Barfield, Stephen Eric Mr.

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
24.2
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 62.1%
  • Democrat 37.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereGA-7 62.1%37.9%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +15.5 51.9% −14.0

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
29.7 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-5.5 pts
Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026