Riding profile

GA-7

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-7: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
15.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 57.5%

    Richard Dean McCormick incumbent

  • Democrat 42.5%

    Anthony Lawrence Kozycki

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. FL-22Democrat68 %1.1 pt margin
  2. AZ-2Republican57 %1.1 pt margin
  3. OH-10Democrat60 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereGA-7 57.5%42.5%
National averageUnited States 44.9% +12.6 54.3% −11.9

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

District polls

Polls in this district

1 poll

Pollster Field dates Sample Pop. Topline Source
20/20 Insight 20–Aug 26 445 LV
Republican 46 Democrat 43
link

District-level polls, topline only. Vote-Scope reports each published poll as the pollster released it; figures are not the Vote-Scope projection.

Editorial read

GA-7, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 30-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 58% vote share, against 42% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

MCCORMICK, RICHARD DEAN DR.

Sits with Republican

Primary race

Primary results

Held Jun 16, 2026 · Certified official result

Democratic primary

Winner

Tony Kozycki 67.7%

11,667 votes

Republican primary

Winner

Rich McCormick (I) 100.0%

83,746 votes

Official source →

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Mccormick, Richard Dean Dr.

  • Democrat Challenger

    Kozycki, Anthony Lawrence

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
29.7 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-14.6 pts
Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026