Riding profile

GA-9

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-9: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

GA-9, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 38-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 66% vote share, against 34% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

CLYDE, ANDREW

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Clyde, Andrew

  • Democrat Challenger

    Alex, Nicholas Francis Mr.

  • Democrat Challenger

    Gegen, Caitlyn

  • Republican Challenger

    Couvillon, Sam

  • Republican Challenger

    Poole, Gregg

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
32.2
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 66.1%
  • Democrat 33.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereGA-9 66.1%33.9%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +19.5 51.9% −18.0

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
38.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-5.8 pts
Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026