Riding profile

GA-9

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-9: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
27.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 63.5%

    Andrew Clyde incumbent

  • Democrat 36.5%

    Caitlyn Gegen

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. FL-22Democrat68 %1.1 pt margin
  2. AZ-2Republican57 %1.1 pt margin
  3. OH-10Democrat60 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereGA-9 63.5%36.5%
National averageUnited States 44.9% +18.6 54.3% −17.9

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

GA-9, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 38-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 64% vote share, against 36% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

CLYDE, ANDREW

Sits with Republican

Primary race

Primary results

Held May 19, 2026 · Certified official result

Democratic primary

Winner

Caitlyn Gegen 60.0%

25,570 votes

Republican primary

Winner

Andrew Clyde (I) 76.0%

70,083 votes

Official source →

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Clyde, Andrew

  • Democrat Challenger

    Gegen, Caitlyn

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
38.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-10.9 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026