Riding profile

GA-13

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-13: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
54.3
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 77.2%

    Jasmine Clark

  • Republican 22.8%

    Jonathan Chavez

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. FL-22Democrat68 %1.1 pt margin
  2. AZ-2Republican57 %1.1 pt margin
  3. OH-10Democrat60 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereGA-13 77.2%22.8%
National averageUnited States 54.3% +22.8 44.9% −22.1

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

GA-13, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 44-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 77% vote share, against 23% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

SCOTT, DAVID ALBERT

Sits with Democrat

Primary race

Primary results

Held May 19, 2026 · Certified official result

Democratic primary

Winner

Jasmine Clark 56.1%

61,504 votes

Republican primary

Winner

Jonathan Chavez 100.0%

25,547 votes

Official source →

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Challenger

    Clark, Jasmine

  • Republican Open seat

    Jonathan Chavez

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
43.7 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+10.6 pts
Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026