Riding profile

GA-3

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-3: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
21.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 60.9%

    Brian Jack incumbent

  • Democrat 39.1%

    Maura Keller

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. FL-22Democrat68 %1.1 pt margin
  2. AZ-2Republican57 %1.1 pt margin
  3. OH-10Democrat60 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereGA-3 60.9%39.1%
National averageUnited States 44.9% +16.0 54.3% −15.2

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

GA-3, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 33-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 61% vote share, against 39% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

JACK, BRIAN

Sits with Republican

Primary race

Primary results

Held May 19, 2026 · Certified official result

Democratic primary

Winner

Maura Keller 60.8%

33,964 votes

Republican primary

Winner

Brian Jack (I) 100.0%

87,643 votes

Official source →

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Jack, Brian

  • Democrat Challenger

    Keller, Maura

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
32.6 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-10.8 pts
Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026