Riding profile

GA-3

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-3: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

GA-3, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 33-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 64% vote share, against 36% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

JACK, BRIAN

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Jack, Brian

  • Democrat Challenger

    Johnson, George Melville Mr

  • Democrat Challenger

    Keller, Maura

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
27.0
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 63.5%
  • Democrat 36.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereGA-3 63.5%36.5%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +16.9 51.9% −15.4

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
32.6 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-5.6 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026