Riding profile

GA-2

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-2: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

GA-2, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 13-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 59% vote share, against 41% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

BISHOP, SANFORD

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Bishop, Sanford

  • Republican Open seat

    Day, Matt

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
18.7
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 59.3%
  • Republican 40.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereGA-2 59.3%40.7%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +7.5 46.6% −6.0

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
12.7 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+6.0 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026