Winner
Kelly Esti 53.5%
Riding profile
GA-8
The question
GA-8: a safe seat for the Republicans?
Current forecast
Republican
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 26.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Republican | Democrat | |
|---|---|---|
| HereGA-8 | 63.5% | 36.5% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.9% +18.5 | 54.3% −17.8 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
GA-8, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 38-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 63% vote share, against 37% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
SCOTT, JAMES AUSTIN
Sits with Republican
Primary race
Primary results
Held May 19, 2026 · Certified official result
Winner
Austin Scott (I) 100.0%
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Republican Incumbent
Scott, James Austin
-
Democrat Challenger Esti, Kelly Dr
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026