Riding profile

GA-8

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-8: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

GA-8, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 38-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 66% vote share, against 34% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

SCOTT, JAMES AUSTIN

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Scott, James Austin

  • Democrat Challenger

    Esti, Kelly Dr

  • Republican Challenger

    Watkins, Vinson

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
32.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 66.0%
  • Democrat 34.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereGA-8 66.0%34.0%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +19.4 51.9% −17.9

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
37.8 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-5.8 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026