Riding profile

GA-12

US House district — GA · Mixed · us ga

The question

GA-12: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

GA-12, a mixed riding in GA, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 21-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 58% vote share, against 42% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

ALLEN, RICHARD W

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Allen, Richard W

  • Democrat Challenger

    Peace-Nichols, Tracell

  • Democrat Challenger

    Smith, Ceretta

  • Democrat Challenger

    Stephens, Robert Christopher

  • Democrat Challenger

    Woodson, Brianna Courtney Estelle

  • Republican Challenger

    Branum, Tori

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
15.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 57.7%
  • Democrat 42.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat
HereGA-12 57.7%42.3%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +11.1 51.9% −9.6

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
20.6 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-5.2 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026