Riding profile

IL-7

US House district — IL · Mixed · us il

The question

IL-7: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

IL-7, a mixed riding in IL, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 67-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 85% vote share, against 15% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

DAVIS, DANNY K. MR.

Sits with Democrat

Primary race

Who leads in the primary

Democrat

La Shawn Ford 23%

8 candidates polled · Latest poll Jan 10, 2026 · byupswing_research

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Davis, Danny K. Mr.

  • Democrat Open seat

    Boykin, Richard

  • Democrat Open seat

    Collins, Kina I

  • Democrat Open seat

    Conyears-Ervin, Melissa

  • Democrat Open seat

    Driver, Anthony Jr.

  • Democrat Open seat

    Ehrlich, David

  • Democrat Open seat

    Fisher, Thomas Dr.

  • Democrat Open seat

    Ford, La Shawn K

  • Democrat Open seat

    Friedman, Jason

  • Democrat Open seat

    Hoskins, Rory E.

  • Democrat Open seat

    Leigh, Danica David

  • Democrat Open seat

    Mccombs, John

  • Democrat Open seat

    Mendoza, Anabel

  • Democrat Open seat

    Robinson, Jazmin J. Mrs.

  • Democrat Open seat

    Showalter, Reed

  • Democrat Open seat

    Tello, Felix

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
70.3
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 85.1%
  • Republican 14.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereIL-7 85.1%14.9%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +33.3 46.6% −31.8

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
66.6 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.7 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026