Riding profile

IL-8

US House district — IL · Mixed · us il

The question

IL-8: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

IL-8, a mixed riding in IL, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 59% vote share, against 41% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

KRISHNAMOORTHI, S. RAJA

Sits with Democrat

Primary race

Who leads in the primary

Democrat

Melissa Bean 10%

6 candidates polled · Latest poll Aug 21, 2025 · bynormington,_petts_&_associates

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Krishnamoorthi, S. Raja

  • Democrat Open seat

    Ahmed, Junaid

  • Democrat Open seat

    Bankole, Yasmeen

  • Democrat Open seat

    Bean, Melissa Luburich

  • Democrat Open seat

    Dunung, Sanjyot

  • Democrat Open seat

    Kallas, Christ

  • Democrat Open seat

    Khot, Neil

  • Democrat Open seat

    Morrison, Kevin B.

  • Democrat Open seat

    Tully, Dan

  • Democrat Open seat

    Vetticad, Ryan

  • Republican Open seat

    Davis, Jennifer

  • Republican Open seat

    Rice, Mark

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
18.5
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 59.3%
  • Republican 40.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereIL-8 59.3%40.7%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +7.4 46.6% −5.9

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
14.1 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+4.4 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026