Riding profile

IL-9

US House district — IL · Mixed · us il

The question

IL-9: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

IL-9, a mixed riding in IL, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 37-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 70% vote share, against 30% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

SCHAKOWSKY, JANICE D

Sits with Democrat

Primary race

Who leads in the primary

Democrat

Daniel Biss 24%

9 candidates polled · Latest poll Mar 10, 2026 · bypublic_policy_polling

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

Democrat Incumbent

Schakowsky, Janice D
Democrat Open seat

Abughazaleh, Katherine M.
Democrat Open seat

Amiwala, Bushra
Democrat Open seat

Andrew, Philip Jerome
Democrat Open seat

Biss, Daniel
Democrat Open seat

Cohen, Jeff
Democrat Open seat

Fine, Laura
Democrat Open seat

Ford, Justin
Democrat Open seat

Huynh, Khai-Hoan
Democrat Open seat

Jenkins, Miracle
Democrat Open seat

Leon, Bruce
Democrat Open seat

Manrique, Jill
Democrat Open seat

Polan, Sam
Democrat Open seat

Pyati, Nick
Democrat Open seat

Rosenblum, Howard
Democrat Open seat

Simmons, Mike
Republican Open seat

Su, Dongbo

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability: 100%
Mean margin (pts): 40.9
P(close race): 0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Democrat 70.4%
Republican 29.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	Democrat	Republican
HereIL-9	70.4%	29.6%
National averageUnited States	51.9% +18.6	46.6% −17.1

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by

Democrat

Margin

36.8 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+4.1 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run: July 15, 2026
Cycle: us_house_2026