Riding profile

IL-13

US House district — IL · Mixed · us il

The question

IL-13: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

IL-13, a mixed riding in IL, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 16-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 61% vote share, against 39% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

BUDZINSKI, NIKKI

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Budzinski, Nikki

  • Democrat Challenger

    Blaha, Dylan Thomas

  • Republican Challenger

    Loyd, Joshua

  • Republican Challenger

    Wilson, Jeff

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
22.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 61.1%
  • Republican 38.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereIL-13 61.1%38.9%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +9.2 46.6% −7.7

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
16.2 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+5.9 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026