Riding profile

IL-13

US House district — IL · Mixed · us il

The question

IL-13: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
27.6
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 63.8%

    Nikki Budzinski incumbent

  • Republican 36.2%

    Jeff Wilson

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. FL-22Democrat68 %1.1 pt margin
  2. AZ-2Republican57 %1.1 pt margin
  3. OH-10Democrat60 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereIL-13 63.8%36.2%
National averageUnited States 54.3% +9.5 44.9% −8.7

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

IL-13, a mixed riding in IL, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 16-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 64% vote share, against 36% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

BUDZINSKI, NIKKI

Sits with Democrat

Primary race

Primary results

Held Mar 17, 2026 · Official count — not yet certified

Democratic primary

Winner

NIKKI BUDZINSKI 75.1%

44,763 votes

Republican primary

Winner

JEFF WILSON 67.5%

22,291 votes

Official source →

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Budzinski, Nikki

  • Republican Challenger

    Wilson, Jeff

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
16.2 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+11.4 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026