Riding profile

IN-2

US House district — IN · Mixed · us in

The question

IN-2: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
17.8
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 58.5%

    Rudy C. III Yakym incumbent

  • Democrat 40.7%

    Jamee Decio

  • Other 0.9%

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. FL-22Democrat68 %1.1 pt margin
  2. AZ-2Republican57 %1.1 pt margin
  3. OH-10Democrat60 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat Other
HereIN-2 58.5%40.7%0.9%
National averageUnited States 44.9% +13.5 54.3% −13.6 5.1% −4.2

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

IN-2, a mixed riding in IN, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 28-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 58% vote share, against 41% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

YAKYM, RUDY C. III

Sits with Republican

Primary race

Primary results

Held May 5, 2026 · Certified official result

Democratic primary

Winner

Jamee Decio 72.1%

18,142 votes

Republican primary

Winner

Rudy Yakym 100.0%

41,228 votes

Official source →

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Yakym, Rudy C. III

  • Democrat Challenger

    Decio, Jamee Ms.

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
28.1 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-10.3 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026