Riding profile

IN-2

US House district — IN · Mixed · us in

The question

IN-2: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

IN-2, a mixed riding in IN, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 28-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 62% vote share, against 38% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

YAKYM, RUDY C. III

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Yakym, Rudy C. III

  • Democrat Challenger

    Decio, Jamee Ms.

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
23.2
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 61.5%
  • Democrat 38.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat Other
HereIN-2 61.5%38.3%0.2%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +14.9 51.9% −13.6 5.4% −5.2

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
28.1 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-4.9 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026