Winner
Cynthia (Cinde) Wirth 58.7%
Riding profile
IN-6
The question
IN-6: a safe seat for the Republicans?
Current forecast
Republican
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 21.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Republican | Democrat | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HereIN-6 | 59.6% | 37.8% | 2.5% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.9% +14.7 | 54.3% −16.5 | 5.1% −2.5 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
IN-6, a mixed riding in IN, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 60% vote share, against 38% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
SHREVE, JEFFERSON
Sits with Republican
Primary race
Primary results
Held May 5, 2026 · Certified official result
Winner
Jefferson Shreve 53.1%
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Republican Incumbent
Shreve, Jefferson
-
Democrat Challenger Wirth, Cynthia (Cinde)
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
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- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026