Riding profile

IN-9

US House district — IN · Mixed · us in

The question

IN-9: a safe seat for the Republicans?

Editorial read

IN-9, a mixed riding in IN, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 63% vote share, against 36% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

HOUCHIN, ERIN

Sits with Republican

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Republican Incumbent

    Houchin, Erin

  • Democrat Challenger

    Graham, James Henry

  • Democrat Challenger

    Meyer, Bradley Allen Mr.

  • Democrat Challenger

    Peck, Timothy

  • Democrat Challenger

    Roark, Keil Louis Mr.

  • Other Challenger

    Taylor, Floyd

Current forecast

Republican

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
26.7
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Republican 63.2%
  • Democrat 36.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Republican Democrat Other
HereIN-9 63.2%36.5%0.3%
National averageUnited States 46.6% +16.6 51.9% −15.4 5.4% −5.1

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Republican
Margin
31.7 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
-4.9 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026