Winner
Brad A. Meyer 37.9%
Riding profile
IN-9
The question
IN-9: a safe seat for the Republicans?
Current forecast
Republican
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 21.3
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Republican | Democrat | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HereIN-9 | 60.2% | 38.9% | 0.9% |
| National averageUnited States | 44.9% +15.2 | 54.3% −15.4 | 5.1% −4.2 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
IN-9, a mixed riding in IN, elected a member with the Republicans in the previous cycle, with a 32-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Republicans ahead at 60% vote share, against 39% for the Democrats, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
HOUCHIN, ERIN
Sits with Republican
Primary race
Primary results
Held May 5, 2026 · Certified official result
Winner
Erin Houchin 100.0%
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Republican Incumbent
Houchin, Erin
-
Democrat Challenger Meyer, Bradley Allen Mr.
- Other Challenger
Taylor, Floyd
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026