Riding profile
IN-7
The question
IN-7: a safe seat for the Democrats?
Editorial read
IN-7, a mixed riding in IN, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 39-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 73% vote share, against 27% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
CARSON, ANDRE
Sits with Democrat
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
Democrat Incumbent Carson, Andre
- Democrat Challenger
Hornedo, George
- Democrat Challenger
Wells, Destiny
Current forecast
Democrat
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 45.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Democrat | Republican | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HereIN-7 | 72.7% | 27.1% | 0.3% |
| National averageUnited States | 51.9% +20.8 | 46.6% −19.6 | 5.4% −5.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · US HOUSE_2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026