David J. Trone 43%
Riding profile
MD-6
The question
MD-6: a safe seat for the Democrats?
Editorial read
MD-6, a mixed riding in MD, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 6-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 56% vote share, against 44% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
DELANEY, APRIL MCCLAIN
Sits with Democrat
Primary race
Who leads in the primary
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
Democrat Incumbent
Delaney, April Mcclain
-
Democrat Challenger
Gluck, George
-
Democrat Challenger
Goldstein, Alexis
-
Democrat Challenger
Trone, David
-
Democrat Challenger
Wechtaluk, Ethan P
-
Republican Challenger
Burnett, Christopher Michael
-
Republican Challenger
Ficker, Robin
-
Republican Challenger
Parrott, Neil Conrad Mr.
-
Republican Challenger
Roca, Mariela
Current forecast
Democrat
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Democrat | Republican | |
|---|---|---|
| HereMD-6 | 56.5% | 43.5% |
| National averageUnited States | 51.9% +4.6 | 46.6% −3.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · US HOUSE_2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026