Riding profile

MA-6

US House district — MA · Mixed · us ma

The question

MA-6: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

MA-6, a mixed riding in MA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 46-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 76% vote share, against 24% for another party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

MOULTON, SETH

Sits with Democrat

Primary race

Who leads in the primary

Democrat

Tram Nguyen 28%

6 candidates polled · Latest poll May 27, 2026 · byworkbench_strategy

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Moulton, Seth

  • Democrat Open seat

    Andres-Beck, Beth

  • Democrat Open seat

    Beccia, John

  • Democrat Open seat

    Belsito, Jamie Marie Zahlaway

  • Democrat Open seat

    Jakious, Rick

  • Democrat Open seat

    Koh, Daniel Arrigg

  • Democrat Open seat

    Lancaster, Mariah Dr

  • Democrat Open seat

    Nguyen, Tram

  • Republican Open seat

    Jones, Micah Q.

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
51.6
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 75.8%
  • Other 24.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Other Republican
HereMA-6 75.8%24.2%0.1%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +23.9 5.4% +18.8 46.6% −46.6

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
46.5 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+5.1 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026