Riding profile
MA-7
The question
MA-7: a safe seat for the Democrats?
Editorial read
MA-7, a mixed riding in MA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 64-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 85% vote share, against 15% for another party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
PRESSLEY, AYANNA
Sits with Democrat
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
-
Democrat Incumbent Pressley, Ayanna
Current forecast
Democrat
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 69.5
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Democrat | Other | Republican | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HereMA-7 | 84.8% | 15.2% | 0.1% |
| National averageUnited States | 51.9% +32.9 | 5.4% +9.8 | 46.6% −46.6 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Previous election · US HOUSE_2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026