Riding profile

MI-6

US House district — MI · Mixed · us mi

The question

MI-6: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

MI-6, a mixed riding in MI, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 27-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 66% vote share, against 33% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

DINGELL, DEBBIE

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Dingell, Debbie

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
33.3
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 66.4%
  • Republican 33.1%
  • Other 0.5%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican Other
HereMI-6 66.4%33.1%0.5%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +14.5 46.6% −13.6 5.4% −4.9

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
27.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+6.3 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026