Riding profile

MI-13

US House district — MI · Mixed · us mi

The question

MI-13: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

MI-13, a mixed riding in MI, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 44-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 73% vote share, against 23% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

THANEDAR, SHRI

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Thanedar, Shri

  • Democrat Challenger

    Hassan, Nazmul

  • Democrat Challenger

    Hollier, Adam

  • Democrat Challenger

    Mckinney, Donavan

  • Other Challenger

    Morton, Maurice Gerard

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
50.3
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 73.0%
  • Republican 22.7%
  • Other 4.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican Other
HereMI-13 73.0%22.7%4.3%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +21.1 46.6% −23.9 5.4% −1.1

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
44.1 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+6.1 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026