Riding profile

MI-8

US House district — MI · Mixed · us mi

The question

MI-8: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

MI-8, a mixed riding in MI, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 7-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 56% vote share, against 42% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

MCDONALD RIVET, KRISTEN

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Mcdonald Rivet, Kristen

  • Republican Challenger

    Hassan, Amir

  • Republican Challenger

    Lemmo, Alfred

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
13.5
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 55.9%
  • Republican 42.4%
  • Other 1.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican Other
HereMI-8 55.9%42.4%1.7%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +4.1 46.6% −4.2 5.4% −3.7

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
6.6 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+6.9 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026