Winner
Grace Meng 57.0%
Riding profile
NY-6
The question
NY-6: a safe seat for the Democrats?
Current forecast
Democrat
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 35.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Democrat | Republican | Other | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HereNY-6 | 63.8% | 28.0% | 8.2% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.3% +9.4 | 44.9% −16.9 | 5.1% +3.1 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
NY-6, a mixed riding in NY, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 24-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 64% vote share, against 28% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
MENG, GRACE
Sits with Democrat
Primary race
Primary results
Held Jun 23, 2026 · Official count — not yet certified
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Democrat Incumbent
Meng, Grace
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026