Riding profile

NY-6

US House district — NY · Mixed · us ny

The question

NY-6: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

NY-6, a mixed riding in NY, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 24-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 61% vote share, against 31% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

MENG, GRACE

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Meng, Grace

  • Democrat Challenger

    Park, Charles

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
30.3
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 61.4%
  • Republican 31.1%
  • Other 7.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican Other
HereNY-6 61.4%31.1%7.6%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +9.5 46.6% −15.6 5.4% +2.2

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
23.9 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+6.3 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026