Riding profile

WA-1

US House district — WA · Mixed · us wa

The question

WA-1: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
37.5
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 68.7%

    Suzan K Delbene incumbent

  • Republican 31.3%

    Mary Silva

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. FL-22Democrat68 %1.1 pt margin
  2. AZ-2Republican57 %1.1 pt margin
  3. OH-10Democrat60 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereWA-1 68.7%31.3%
National averageUnited States 54.3% +14.4 44.9% −13.7

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

WA-1, a mixed riding in WA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 26-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 69% vote share, against 31% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

DELBENE, SUZAN K

Sits with Democrat

Primary race

Primary results

Held Aug 4, 2026 · Certified official result

Top-two primary

Advanced to the general election

Suzan DelBene 53.1%

85,156 votes

Advanced to the general election

Mary Silva 26.2%

42,088 votes

Official source →

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Delbene, Suzan K

  • Republican Open seat

    Mary Silva

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
26.3 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+11.2 pts
Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026