Advanced to the general election
Adam Smith 47.2%
Advanced to the general election
Doug Basler 21.9%
Riding profile
WA-9
The question
WA-9: a safe seat for the Democrats?
Current forecast
Democrat
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 99.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Democrat | Other | |
|---|---|---|
| HereWA-9 | 99.6% | 0.4% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.3% +45.3 | 5.1% −4.7 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
WA-9, a mixed riding in WA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 96-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 100% vote share, against 0% for another party, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
SMITH, D. ADAM
Sits with Democrat
Primary race
Primary results
Held Aug 4, 2026 · Certified official result
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Democrat Incumbent
Smith, D. Adam
-
Republican Challenger Basler, Douglas Michael
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026