Riding profile

WA-9

US House district — WA · Mixed · us wa

The question

WA-9: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

WA-9, a mixed riding in WA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 96-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 100% vote share, against 0% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

SMITH, D. ADAM

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Smith, D. Adam

  • Democrat Challenger

    Chaudhry, Melissa

  • Other Challenger

    Sawant, Kshama

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
99.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 99.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican Other
HereWA-9 99.9%0.1%0.0%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +48.1 46.6% −46.6 5.4% −5.4

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
95.8 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+4.1 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026