Riding profile

WA-6

US House district — WA · Mixed · us wa

The question

WA-6: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
25.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 62.6%

    Emily Randall incumbent

  • Republican 37.4%

    Teresa Fox

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. FL-22Democrat68 %1.1 pt margin
  2. AZ-2Republican57 %1.1 pt margin
  3. OH-10Democrat60 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereWA-6 62.6%37.4%
National averageUnited States 54.3% +8.2 44.9% −7.5

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

WA-6, a mixed riding in WA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 14-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 63% vote share, against 37% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

RANDALL, EMILY

Sits with Democrat

Primary race

Primary results

Held Aug 4, 2026 · Certified official result

Top-two primary

Advanced to the general election

Emily Randall 58.8%

132,805 votes

Advanced to the general election

Teresa Fox 25.6%

57,700 votes

Official source →

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Randall, Emily

  • Republican Challenger

    Fox, Teresa

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
13.6 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+11.5 pts
Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026