Riding profile

WA-7

US House district — WA · Mixed · us wa

The question

WA-7: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
78.4
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 89.2%

    Pramila Jayapal incumbent

  • Republican 10.8%

    Nirav Sheth

Watch list

The tightest races

Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.

  1. FL-22Democrat68 %1.1 pt margin
  2. AZ-2Republican57 %1.1 pt margin
  3. OH-10Democrat60 %1.1 pt margin

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereWA-7 89.2%10.8%
National averageUnited States 54.3% +34.9 44.9% −34.1

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Editorial read

WA-7, a mixed riding in WA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 68-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 89% vote share, against 11% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

JAYAPAL, PRAMILA

Sits with Democrat

Primary race

Primary results

Held Aug 4, 2026 · Certified official result

Top-two primary

Advanced to the general election

Pramila Jayapal 84.7%

182,844 votes

Advanced to the general election

Nirav Sheth 9.9%

21,282 votes

Official source →

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Jayapal, Pramila

  • Republican Challenger

    Sheth, Nirav

Previous election · 2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
68.1 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+10.3 pts
Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026