Riding profile

WA-7

US House district — WA · Mixed · us wa

The question

WA-7: a safe seat for the Democrats?

Editorial read

WA-7, a mixed riding in WA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 68-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 86% vote share, against 14% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

JAYAPAL, PRAMILA

Sits with Democrat

Who's running

The candidates

Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.

  • Democrat Incumbent

    Jayapal, Pramila

  • Republican Challenger

    Sheth, Nirav

Current forecast

Democrat

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
72.5
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Democrat 86.3%
  • Republican 13.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Democrat Republican
HereWA-7 86.3%13.7%
National averageUnited States 51.9% +34.4 46.6% −32.9

Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Projection track

How the projection has moved

Previous election · US HOUSE_2024

Won by
Democrat
Margin
68.1 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+4.4 pts

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
us_house_2026