Washington’s 7th District
U.S. House · WA-7
Election day November 3, 2026 · forecast of November 2, 2026
Our forecast gives the Democrats a more than 99% chance of winning, with an average lead of 78.1 points.
Safe seat. Chance of a final gap under 5 points: under 1%.
What Orbit says
Orbit, our experimental model, picks the same favourite as our main forecast: the Democrat, with a > 99% chance (> 99% according to Harfang des neiges).
| Model | Favourite | Chance |
|---|---|---|
| Harfang des neiges | Democrat | > 99% |
| Orbit | Democrat | > 99% |
| 50/50 blend | Democrat | > 99% |
Compared with the average
| Democrat | Republican | |
|---|---|---|
| WA-7 | 89.1% | 10.9% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.9%+34.2 | 43.9%−32.9 |
Simple average of the 435 districts, not weighted by population.
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Local profile
| Latino citizens aged 18 and over | 7.3% (± 0.3) |
|---|
Current member
Pramila Jayapal · Democrat
Primary results
| Top-two primary | Pramila Jayapal · Advanced to the general election | 84.7% | 182,844 votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Top-two primary | Nirav Sheth · Advanced to the general election | 9.9% | 21,282 votes |
Democrat 
Republican Previous election (2024)
The Democrats won by 68.1 points.
Our current projection: the Democrats ahead by 78.1 points.
Watch list
The tightest races
The smallest projected gaps between the top two.
- Forecast updated