Advanced to the general election
Kim Schrier 53.8%
Advanced to the general election
Spencer Meline 15.9%
Riding profile
WA-8
The question
WA-8: a safe seat for the Democrats?
Current forecast
Democrat
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 20.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
Watch list
The tightest races
Smallest projected margin. Open one for the numbers.
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Democrat | Republican | |
|---|---|---|
| HereWA-8 | 60.1% | 39.9% |
| National averageUnited States | 54.3% +5.7 | 44.9% −5.0 |
Nationwide averages computed across the 435 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Projection track
How the projection has moved
Editorial read
WA-8, a mixed riding in WA, elected a member with the Democrats in the previous cycle, with a 8-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the Democrats ahead at 60% vote share, against 40% for the Republicans, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
SCHRIER, KIM DR.
Sits with Democrat
Primary race
Primary results
Held Aug 4, 2026 · Certified official result
Who's running
The candidates
Declared and on-ballot candidates for the upcoming election.
- Democrat Incumbent
Schrier, Kim Dr.
-
Republican Challenger Meline, Spencer Harrison
Previous election · 2024
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Last model run
- Cycle
us_house_2026